Now official: Airports will not be ready for the World Cup

Reality today... and in 2014... and in 2016...

The renown (governmental) institute IPEA has now confirmed what most realists have known for a while: The airports will not be ready for the World Cup in 2014. Notable exemptions are Curitiba and Tom Jobim in Rio.

While the Minister for Civil Aviation (a brand new ministry) Wagner Bittencourt still claims that the timeplan is "adequate", he seems to be in denial, ignoring the IPEA data.

Experts have long advocated the privatisation of the airports to ensure that infrastructure grows ahead of (or at least with) deman - but the government remains stubborn that airports remain a national interest and thus must be state operated. Now it is too late...

Of the 13 airports under construction and modernisation, 9 will not be ready by 2014... among these the unimportant Sampa Guarulhos, Salvador and Brasília. And what is worse, these will not be ready for the 2016 olympics (Only Porto Alegre and Belo Horizonte will be) - so do not plan any extensive travel outside of sporting events in 2014 or 2016.

This blog, as one of many sources, has repeatedly highlighted that there is a huge risk of the aiports, most specifically Guarulhos not being ready for the World Cup 2014, nor the Olympics in 2016. And this is not only based on other news sources or what I hear and read. I fly in and out of Guarulhos at least once a month and just recently signs have gone up announcing the modernisation and expansion of the security area and passport controls... Unfortunately, as in many cases, it will take a long time until something starts happening - but the renderings on the posters look nice.

Oh, and to add to the troubles, the Itaquera Stadium in Sampa, which apparently should host matches during the World Cup (if they ever get construction started), will not be ready for the Confederations Cup in 2013.

And I will not even get started on any bullet train discussion - this is just sad.

World Cup Troubles

Let Us Hope there are no second thoughts about this

To make it quick: The 2014 World Cup is in trouble. A report to be released these days (today?) will put a green light on the stadium construction of Belo Horizonte. Full Stop. All other stadiums will receive a yellow light for progress - except for Natal and São Paulo, where construction hasn't even begun. To be honest, I still do not know where and how the São Paulo stadium should be built.

The second part of the bad news is that almost all infrastructure to support the world cup (airports, roads, subway, etc.) will receive at least a yellow light. The "grand plan" for São Paulo is expected to be to block all access roads to and from stadiums and major hotel districts to allow soccer fans to get to and from the games - killing off the rest of the city.

The third part of the bad news is that, contrary to initial official news, almost no private money will be used for infrastructure and stadium construction. The required money is estimated to be a total of ca. 10 billion Euros, of which 7.2 billion Euros alone are for airport infrastructure projects. The available 147m EUR from the private sector are from soccer clubs used to build or refurbish their own stadiums. In other words, the tax payer will pay for 98.5% of the cost. Good job.

The fourth part of the bad news is that the world cup will be in roughly 1200 days.

The fifth and final part is that at least six stadiums with infrastructure need to be ready in 835 days - for the confederations cup...

EDIT AND UPDATE: Since last year, costs for stadium construction have already gone up, on average, by 57% according to AFP. Top cost increases were registered in Salvador, at 170%.